Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder Match Prediction & Fantasy Tips: Who Will Win Today’s BBL Match - Big Bash League 2025–26, Match 14
- Published: December 27, 2025
- Updated: December 27, 2025
- By AllCric Team
Match Key Insights
Sydney Thunder have a better head-to-head record, but Melbourne Stars look stronger right now.
Melbourne Stars are in great form with three wins, while Sydney Thunder have been inconsistent.
Manuka Oval suits batters, with early help for pacers and some spin later.
Stars appear more balanced overall; Thunder rely on strong starts and key players.
Match Preview
The Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Stars prediction highlights BBL Match 14 at Manuka Oval, Canberra. Melbourne Stars are in top form with three straight wins, while Sydney Thunder have one win from three matches.
The Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder match prediction slightly favors the Stars based on current momentum. For fantasy users, the Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder Dream11 prediction points to a balanced contest, and selecting in-form players will help build a strong Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder Dream11 team.
Match Details
- Match: Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder (STA vs THU)
- Event: Big Bash League 2025-26 – Match 14
- Date: Sunday, 28 December 2025
- Time: 1:45 PM IST
- Venue: Manuka Oval, Canberra
Recent Form Analysis
Melbourne Stars
- Won 3 out of 3 matches this season (Top of the table).
- In their last match, they beat Sydney Sixers by 7 wickets while chasing 145.
- In-form players: Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, Sam Harper
Form (Last 5 matches): W L W W W
Sydney Thunder
- Won 1 out of 3 matches this season (5th position).
- In their most recent game, they defeated Brisbane Heat by 34 runs (193/4 vs 159/6).
- In-form players: Alex Hales, Cameron Bancroft, Daniel Sams
Form (Last 5 matches): W L L L W
Head-to-Head Record
| Matches Played | Melbourne Stars(STA) Won | Sydney Thunder(THU) Won | Tie/NR |
|---|---|---|---|
|
22 |
10 |
12 |
01 |
Insight: Sydney Thunder hold a slight edge historically with 12 wins out of 22 encounters, but Melbourne Stars have the firepower to challenge strongly. Recent form and key players will play a crucial role in deciding this clash.
Pitch & Weather Report – Manuka Oval, Canberra
- Batting-friendly surface with true bounce, good for stroke play
- Spinners likely to come into action during middle overs
Expected 1st Innings Score: 160–170. For more venue-wise info, refer to: Manuka Oval Stats
- The weather is expected to be clear throughout the match
- Temperature range: 18–25°C
Overall: Ideal conditions for a full 20-over contest
Probable Playing 11
Melbourne Stars Probable Playing 11:
Joe Clarke, Sam Harper (w), Campbell Kellaway, Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis (c), Hilton Cartwright, Tom Curran, Jonathan Merlo, Mitchell Swepson, Haris Rauf, Peter Siddle
Sydney Thunder Probable Playing 11:
Sam Konstas, Matthew Gilkes, David Warner (c), Cameron Bancroft, Sam Billings (w), Shadab Khan, Daniel Sams, Chris Green, Nathan McAndrew, Tanveer Sangha, Reece Topley
Toss Prediction
The team winning the toss is likely to field first, as chasing a total of 180+ is considered competitive at Manuka Oval.
Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder Prediction-Who Will Win Today?
Melbourne Stars (STA) hold a slight edge going into this contest. Their top order, led by Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, and Sam Harper, looks capable of setting or chasing a competitive total, while bowlers like Cameron Green and Michael Neser can strike early.
Sydney Thunder (THU) will rely on early contributions from Jason Sangha, Daniel Sams, and Matthew Gilkes. If their batters fire and bowlers maintain pressure, they can keep it tight. If today’s match feels tricky to read, the Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Stars 11th match prediction and Sydney Thunder vs Brisbane Heat 9th match prediction with fantasy tips help make things clearer.
STA vs THU Today Match Prediction:
👉 Melbourne Stars slightly favored, but a competitive and closely fought game is expected.
Dream11 Team(Safe Picks)
Wicketkeeper:
Sam Harper (STA) – scored a brilliant 110 off 60 balls in the previous match vs Sydney Sixers
Batters:
Matthew Gilkes (THU) – 108 runs in 3 matches at a strike rate of 183
Joe Clarke (STA) – consistent opener, scoring 30+ regularly at ~130 SR
Allrounder:
Glenn Maxwell (STA) – key middle-order batter and handy bowler, 12 wickets combined with Stoinis
Bowlers:
Shadab Khan (THU) – 6 wickets in 2 matches, also tops internal run chart with 75 runs
Haris Rauf (STA) – pace spearhead, 13 wickets shared with Peter Siddle
Peter Siddle (STA) – experienced pacer, 13 wickets combined with Haris Rauf
Captain: Sam Harper (STA) / Glenn Maxwell (STA)
Vice-Captain: Shadab Khan (THU) / Marcus Stoinis (STA)
Final Thoughts
Melbourne Stars (STA) hold a slight edge going into this contest. Their top order, led by Sam Harper, Joe Clarke, and Campbell Kellaway, looks capable of posting a competitive total, while bowlers like Haris Rauf and Peter Siddle can strike early. Sydney Thunder (THU) will rely on Matthew Gilkes, Shadab Khan, and David Warner to provide key contributions.
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❓FAQs
Melbourne Stars hold a slight edge due to form and top-order firepower.
Sam Harper, Joe Clarke, Campbell Kellaway, Haris Rauf, Peter Siddle are crucial for STA, while Matthew Gilkes, Shadab Khan, David Warner can impact for THU.
The first innings score is expected around 180–200 runs, which is competitive at Manuka Oval.
Toss-winning captains are likely to bowl first, aiming to restrict the opposition to a chaseable total.
Extremely important, especially after his century (110 off 60) vs Sixers, setting the tone for the innings.