Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades Match Prediction & Fantasy Tips: Who Will Win Today's Match? - BBL 2025-26, Match 22
Key Points You Should Know
Match Preview
The STA vs REN match prediction focuses on BBL Match 22 at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne. Melbourne Stars have been in strong form this season, winning 4 of their first 5 matches, though they enter this clash after a narrow 4-wicket loss to Brisbane Heat despite posting a big 195/6.
Melbourne Renegades, on the other hand, have struggled for consistency with just one win from four games. Their latest outing ended in a 6-wicket defeat to Sydney Sixers after scoring 164/9. Based on current form and batting depth, the STA vs REN prediction slightly favors the Stars.
From a fantasy angle, the STA vs REN Dream11 prediction leans toward in-form top-order batters and wicket-taking bowlers. Picking a balanced STA vs REN Dream11 team today will be key as both teams aim to gain momentum in the BBL standings.
Match Details
- Match: Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades (STA vs REN)
- Event: Big Bash League 2025-26 – Match 22
- Date: Sunday, 4 January 2026
- Time: 12:35 PM IST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground, Richmond, Australia
Recent Form
Melbourne Stars (STA)
Form (Last 5 matches): W W W W L
- Won 4 out of 5 matches this season
- Last match: Lost to Brisbane Heat
- In-form players: Sam Harper, Marcus Stoinis, Haris Rauf
Melbourne Renegades (REN)
Form (Last 5 matches): W W L L L
- Won 1 out of 4 matches this season
- Last match: Lost to Sydney Sixers
- In-form players: Tim Seifert, Oliver Peake, Jake Fraser-McGurk
Head-to-Head Record
| Matches Played | Melbourne Stars(STA) Won | Melbourne Renegades(REN) Won | Tie/NR |
|---|---|---|---|
|
28 |
18 |
10 |
00 |
Insight: Melbourne Stars have historically dominated early in the season, while the Renegades have struggled to string together consistent performances. The Stars’ recent form and squad depth give them a slight edge.
Pitch & Weather Report Today
The surface at Melbourne Cricket Ground has generally favored batters, offering a true track for stroke-making. In recent T20s here, first-innings totals around 155–160 have been competitive.
Competitive Score: A score of ~170 will be challenging for the chasing side.
Weather Conditions:
Melbourne is expected to be hot and humid during the game. No rain is forecast, ensuring an uninterrupted match.
Probable Playing 11
Melbourne Stars Predicted Playing 11
Thomas Fraser Rogers, Sam Harper(w), Campbell Kellaway, Blake Macdonald, Marcus Stoinis(c), Glenn Maxwell, Hilton Cartwright, Tom Curran, Mitchell Swepson, Haris Rauf, Peter Siddle
Melbourne Renegades Predicted Playing 11:
Josh Brown, Tim Seifert, Mohammad Rizwan(w), Jake Fraser-McGurk, Oliver Peake, Matthew Spoors, Hassan Khan, Will Sutherland(c), Andrew Tye, Gurinder Sandhu, Jason Behrendorff
STA vs REN Dream11 Prediction
Wicketkeeper:
- Sam Harper (STA) – In-form opener with a high strike rate 231 runs in 4 matches.
Batters:
- Oliver Peake (REN) – Impressive strike rate this season, 103 runs in last 4 innings
- Tim Seifert (REN) – Renegades’ main scoring threat 170 runs in 4 matches.
All-rounders:
- Marcus Stoinis (REN) – All-rounder with 137 runs and 7 wickets in 5 matches.
Bowlers:
- Haris Rauf (STA) – main wicket-taker, 10 wickets in last 5 matches
- Adam Zampa (REN) – Strike spinner, 3/25 in the match vs Hurricanes
- Peter Siddle (STA) – Experienced pacer, 10 wickets in last 5 matches
Captain: Marcus Stoinis (STA)
Vice-Captain: Sam Harper (STA)
STA vs REN Match Prediction - Who Will Win Today?
Melbourne Stars have the edge due to form, past record, and overall squad balance. Renegades must rely on Tim Seifert, Oliver Peake, and Jake Fraser-McGurk to create an upset. Key contributions from Stoinis, Harper, and Rauf could decide the match. To feel more settled about today’s match prediction and fantasy team, the HEA vs STA 20th match prediction and REN vs SIX 18tth match predictions with fantasy tips are still useful.
Prediction: Melbourne Stars to win
Final Thoughts
Melbourne Stars are favored to continue their dominant run and secure a win over Melbourne Renegades. Renegades will need exceptional performances from their top order to challenge the Stars effectively. Fantasy players should focus on Sam Harper, Marcus Stoinis, Haris Rauf, and Blake Macdonald for high-impact picks.
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❓FAQs
Melbourne Stars are the favorites due to form, depth, and past performances against Renegades.
Sam Harper, Marcus Stoinis, Haris Rauf, Blake Macdonald, Tim Seifert, Jason Behrendorff.
Captain: Marcus Stoinis (STA)
Vice-Captain: Sam Harper (STA)
A total of around 165–170 runs should be competitive.
Toss-winning captains are likely to bowl first, as chasing totals have historically worked well here.
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