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Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades Match Prediction – BBL Match 38

BBL 2025–26 Match 38 prediction graphic for Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades with match date, time, and team logos.
Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades – BBL 2025–26 Match 38 Prediction | 17 January, 11:30 AM IST

The Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades match prediction focuses on Match 38 of the Big Bash League, scheduled at the iconic Adelaide Oval. With the league stage entering a crucial phase, both teams will be desperate for a win to strengthen their playoff chances.

 

Adelaide Strikers come into this match with a strong home advantage and a balanced squad. The presence of Alex Carey, Matthew Short, and Chris Lynn gives them a powerful top order, while their spin trio of Tabraiz Shamsi, Lloyd Pope, and Cameron Boyce can be extremely effective on the Adelaide surface.

 

Melbourne Renegades, meanwhile, boast an explosive batting lineup featuring Jake Fraser-McGurk, Josh Brown, and Mohammad Rizwan, along with multiple all-round options like Will Sutherland and Hassan Khan. However, their inconsistency and reliance on individual brilliance remain concerns.

 

Considering conditions and squad balance, the Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades match prediction slightly favours the Strikers, especially at home.

Match Details

  • Match: Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades – Match 38
  • Tournament: Big Bash League (BBL)
  • Format: T20
  • Date: Saturday, 17 January
  • Time: 11:30 AM
  • Venue: Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

Pitch Report

The Adelaide Oval pitch is traditionally batting-friendly, offering good bounce and pace. Batters can score freely once set, while fast bowlers may get movement with the new ball. Spinners tend to come into play during the middle overs.

The average first-innings score at this venue is around 170–180, and teams will look to post 185+ to stay competitive.

Weather Report

Clear weather is expected in Adelaide with no major threat of rain. Conditions should be ideal for a full 40-over contest.

Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades Recent Performance

Adelaide Strikers

  • Recent form: Strong at home, competitive overall
  • Key performers: Matthew Short, Alex Carey, Tabraiz Shamsi

Melbourne Renegades

  • Recent form: Mixed performances
  • Key performers: Jake Fraser-McGurk, Mohammad Rizwan, Will Sutherland

Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades Head-to-Head

Matches Played

STR Won

REN Won

Last 5 Matches

3

2

Insight: Recent head-to-head meetings have been competitive, but Adelaide Strikers often gain the upper hand at home.

Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades Probable Playing XI

Adelaide Strikers Predicted Playing XI : 
Alex Carey (C), Matthew Short, Chris Lynn, Liam Scott, Jason Sangha, Jamie Overton, Harry Manenti, Hasan Ali, Cameron Boyce, Lloyd Pope, Tabraiz Shamsi

Melbourne Renegades Predicted Playing XI:

Tim Seifert, Josh Brown, Jake Fraser-McGurk, Mohammad Rizwan (wk), Harry Dixon, Hassan Khan, Will Sutherland (c), Sam Elliott, Gurinder Sandhu, Brendan Doggett, Adam Zampa

Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades Toss Prediction

The team winning the toss is likely to bat first, as setting a target at Adelaide Oval generally puts pressure on the chasing side.

Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades Top Picks

Batters to Watch

  • Matthew Short (STR): Consistent opener and key run-scorer
  • Chris Lynn (STR): Explosive power-hitter at the top
  • Jake Fraser-McGurk (REN): Match-winner with aggressive intent

Bowlers to Watch

  • Tabraiz Shamsi (STR): Strike spinner in middle overs
  • Adam Zampa (REN): Experienced leg-spinner
  • Hasan Ali (STR): Effective with the new ball

Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades Dream11 Team Today

Wicketkeeper:

  • Alex Carey (STR)

Batters:

  • Matthew Short (STR)
  • Chris Lynn (STR)
  • Jake Fraser-McGurk (REN)
  • Josh Brown (REN)

All-rounders:

  • Jamie Overton (STR)
  • Will Sutherland (REN)
  • Hassan Khan (REN)

Bowlers:

  • Tabraiz Shamsi (STR)
  • Adam Zampa (REN)
  • Hasan Ali (STR)

Captain Choices: Matthew Short / Jake Fraser-McGurk
Vice-Captain Choices: Alex Carey / Tabraiz Shamsi

Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades Match Prediction – Who Will Win Today?

Adelaide Strikers appear better placed due to home advantage, a stronger bowling attack, and better balance across departments. Melbourne Renegades will need standout performances from their top order to challenge effectively.


Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades Prediction:

 Adelaide Strikers to win

 

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FAQ?

Who will win Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades Match 38?

Adelaide Strikers are favourites due to home conditions and squad balance.

What is a competitive score at Adelaide Oval?

A first-innings total of 180–190 is competitive.

Best Dream11 picks for STR vs REN match?

Matthew Short, Alex Carey, Jake Fraser-McGurk, Tabraiz Shamsi, Adam Zampa.

What is the toss strategy for this match?

Bat first and defend under pressure.

Is the pitch batting-friendly?

Yes, Adelaide Oval generally favours batters with some help for bowlers early.